TRADING OPEN

    Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $111.3K

    +$14.8K (24h)

    Active Markets

    3

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    8¢

    Before January 1, 2027

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Before December 1, 2026

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    3 markets
    #
    18¢8¢
    $28.1K+$1.1K 24h
    ——
    22¢2¢
    $40.5K+$7.1K 24h
    -5¢—
    32¢2¢
    $42.7K+$6.6K 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before January 1, 2027
    8¢—
    2Before December 1, 2026
    2¢-5¢
    3Before November 1, 2026
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    3
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $111.3K

    Whale Activity

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