Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

11% chance

Yes11%

Buy Yes11¢12¢ after fees

No89%

Buy No90¢91¢ after fees

1 venue · 1 market

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes11%—11¢

11¢12¢ after fees

No90%—90¢

90¢91¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Biggest trades

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Compared across 1 venue