Weather

    Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

    85% chance

    Yes85%kalshiYes85¢86¢ after fees
    No15%kalshiNo16¢17¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $32.9K
    24h
    $0
    kalshi1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes85%—kalshi85¢86¢ after fees
    No16%—kalshi16¢17¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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