TRADING OPEN

    Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.0M

    +$123.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    60¢

    Oil ≥ $85; D Senate

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Oil < $85; D Senate

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets
    #
    160¢60¢
    $240.4K+$31.1K 24h
    +1¢—
    230¢30¢
    $190.3K+$32.6K 24h
    ——
    36¢6¢
    $302.4K+$28.2K 24h
    -2¢—
    43¢3¢
    $300.9K+$31.1K 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
    60%
    60¢+1¢
    2Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
    30%
    30¢—
    3Oil < $85; D Senate
    6¢-2¢
    4Oil < $85; R Senate
    3¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $1.0M

    Whale Activity

    Loading...