TRADING OPEN

    Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $623.0K

    +$90.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    63¢

    Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets
    #
    1
    —
    63¢63¢
    $64.7K+$6.8K 24h
    -1¢—
    232¢32¢
    $87.5K+$59.9K 24h
    ——
    33¢3¢
    $241.5K+$5.5K 24h
    ——
    42¢2¢
    $229.4K+$18.7K 24h
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
    63%
    63¢-1¢
    2Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
    32%
    32¢—
    3Oil < $80; D Senate
    3¢—
    4Oil < $80; R Senate
    2¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $623.0K

    Whale Activity

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