TRADING OPEN

    Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $184.1K

    +$10.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    4

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    66¢

    No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    4 markets
    #
    166¢66¢
    $55.9K+$1.5K 24h
    +1¢—
    231¢31¢
    $44.9K+$6.4K 24h
    -1¢—
    32¢2¢
    $31.6K+$326 24h
    -1¢—
    41¢1¢
    $51.8K+$2.5K 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
    66%
    66¢+1¢
    2No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
    31%
    31¢-1¢
    3Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
    2¢-1¢
    4Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    4
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $184.1K

    Whale Activity

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