TRADING OPEN

    Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $2.4M

    +$36.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    3

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    95¢

    No Hormuz Agreement

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    No Hormuz Agreement

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    3 markets
    #
    195¢95¢
    $1.0M+$30.1K 24h
    +1¢—
    23¢3¢
    $510.1K+$3.7K 24h
    -1¢—
    32¢2¢
    $867.0K+$2.7K 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No Hormuz Agreement
    95%
    95¢+1¢
    2Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
    3¢-1¢
    3Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    3
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $2.4M

    Whale Activity

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