Who will Trump speak to by November 30?

    Mark Carney leads by 2 pts · 20 candidates at 5%+

    1. Mark Carney#199%
    2. Xi Jinping#297%
    3. Elon Musk#393%
    Resolves
    Dec 1, 2026
    Volume
    $445.0K
    24h
    $109.2K
    Liquidity
    $267.0K
    Candidates
    28
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 31 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Mark Carney99%
    • Xi Jinping97%
    • Elon Musk93%
    • Vladimir Putin93%
    • Sanae Takaichi83%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Elon Musk24h
      ▲ 13¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Hakeem Jeffries24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Chuck Schumer24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Mark Carney$29.6K vol99%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US99¢no fee
    Xi Jinping$22.4K vol97%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Elon Musk$27.5K vol93%▲ 13kalshi93¢94¢ after fees
    Vladimir Putin$5.1K vol93%▲ 1kalshi92¢93¢ after fees
    Sanae Takaichi$1.8K vol83%▼ 4kalshi86¢87¢ after fees
    Mohammed bin Salman$5.0K vol82%▼ 5kalshi84¢85¢ after fees
    Claudia Sheinbaum$2.2K vol76%▼ 7kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Lee Jae-myung$787 vol73%▼ 2kalshi75¢77¢ after fees
    Narendra Modi$2.0K vol72%▼ 8kalshi74¢76¢ after fees
    Volodymyr Zelenskyy$94.3K vol65%▼ 6kalshi68¢70¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Vladimir Putin2¢buy kalshi
    • Volodymyr Zelenskyy2¢buy kalshi
    • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. Howev…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet (including phone calls) in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, December 1, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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