Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

    J.D. Vance leads by 21 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. J.D. Vance#153%
    2. Marco Rubio#232%
    3. Donald Trump Jr.#35%
    Resolves
    Nov 6, 2028
    Volume
    $24.7K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • J.D. Vance53%
    • Marco Rubio32%
    • Donald Trump Jr.5%
    • Eric Trump5%
    • Donald Trump4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. J.D. Vance24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Eric Trump24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Donald Trump Jr.24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    J.D. Vance$9.5K vol53%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US57¢58¢ after fees
    Marco Rubio$4.8K vol32%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢34¢ after fees
    Donald Trump Jr.$583 vol5%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢9¢ after fees
    Eric Trump$459 vol5%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    Donald Trump$1.7K vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢7¢ after fees
    Elon Musk$625 vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    Ted Cruz$473 vol2%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees
    Vivek Ramaswamy$517 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees
    Ivanka Trump$555 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Glenn Youngkin$434 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 6, 2028
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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