Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

    Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? Live odds across 17 markets: Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf at 92¢. Resolves Jul 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026

    Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

    Resolves Jul 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $308.2K

    +$98.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    91¢

    Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +91¢

    Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets · Showing 8
    #
    191¢92¢
    $7.4K+$7.4K 24h
    +91¢
    2
    Shehbaz Sharif📈 Trending
    48¢49¢
    $28.0K+$16.5K 24h
    +11¢
    335¢36¢
    $14.9K+$5.2K 24h
    -9¢
    4
    Abbas Araghchi📈 Trending
    34¢34¢
    $29.6K+$11.3K 24h
    -30¢
    521¢21¢
    $21.7K+$6.2K 24h
    -11¢
    617¢17¢
    $19.2K+$6.3K 24h
    -2¢
    714¢15¢
    $9.1K+$1.4K 24h
    -1¢
    811¢11¢
    $20.7K+$7.6K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
    91%
    91¢+91¢
    2Shehbaz Sharif
    48%
    48¢+11¢
    3Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
    35%
    35¢-9¢
    4Abbas Araghchi
    34%
    34¢-30¢
    5Steve Witkoff
    21%
    21¢-11¢
    6Masoud Pezeshkian
    17%
    17¢-2¢
    7Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    8Marco Rubio
    11¢
    9Mohammed bin Salman
    10¢-4¢
    10Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
    11Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
    -1¢
    12Benjamin Netanyahu
    -2¢
    13Mojtaba Khamenei
    -1¢
    14King Abdullah II
    -13¢
    15Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
    -2¢
    16Pete Hegseth
    -1¢
    17Recep Tayyip Erdogan
    -1¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 31, 2026

    ~46 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $308.2K

    Whale Activity

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