TRADING OPEN

    Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2028
    Total Volume

    $502.6K

    +$2.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    38

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    85¢

    Ted Cruz

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Rand Paul

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    38 markets
    #
    185¢85¢
    $25.7K+$117 24h
    +2¢—
    278¢78¢
    $37.2K+$100 24h
    -1¢—
    368¢68¢
    $37.8K
    +2¢—
    455¢55¢
    $48.6K+$30 24h
    ——
    550¢50¢
    $14.6K+$2 24h
    -4¢—
    6
    Thomas Massie📈 Trending
    45¢45¢
    $15.6K
    -1¢—
    739¢39¢
    $10.7K
    -3¢—
    836¢36¢
    $3.0K
    -4¢—
    935¢35¢
    $952
    -1¢—
    1032¢32¢
    $14.8K
    -3¢—
    1131¢31¢
    $9.8K
    -4¢—
    1228¢28¢
    $8.1K
    -1¢—
    13
    Donald J. Trump Jr.📈 Trending
    26¢26¢
    $38.6K+$1.1K 24h
    ——
    1426¢26¢
    $0
    -4¢—
    1526¢26¢
    $11.7K
    -3¢—
    1625¢25¢
    $11.2K
    -2¢—
    1724¢24¢
    $5.0K
    -2¢—
    1824¢24¢
    $62.9K+$1.0K 24h
    -1¢—
    1922¢22¢
    $9.4K
    ——
    2021¢21¢
    $13.1K
    -4¢—
    2121¢21¢
    $9.5K
    -2¢—
    2219¢19¢
    $492
    -2¢—
    2319¢19¢
    $831
    -4¢—
    2418¢18¢
    $19.6K
    -2¢—
    2516¢16¢
    $7.0K+$12 24h
    -1¢—
    2616¢16¢
    $722
    -1¢—
    2716¢16¢
    $40.0K
    ——
    2815¢15¢
    $4.8K
    -2¢—
    2913¢13¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢—
    3013¢13¢
    $5.8K
    -1¢—
    31
    Josh Hawley📈 Trending
    13¢13¢
    $23.1K
    -2¢—
    3213¢13¢
    $340
    -4¢—
    3312¢12¢
    $150
    -4¢—
    3411¢11¢
    $1.0K
    -1¢—
    3511¢11¢
    $829
    -3¢—
    367¢7¢
    $779
    -3¢—
    374¢4¢
    $3.6K
    -1¢—
    383¢3¢
    $4.4K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Ted Cruz
    85%
    85¢+2¢
    2J.D. Vance
    78%
    78¢-1¢
    3Ron DeSantis
    68%
    68¢+2¢
    4Marco Rubio
    55%
    55¢—
    5Rand Paul
    50%
    50¢-4¢
    6Thomas Massie
    45%
    45¢-1¢
    7Glenn Youngkin
    39%
    39¢-3¢
    8Chris Christie
    36%
    36¢-4¢
    9Brian Kemp
    35%
    35¢-1¢
    10John McEntee
    32%
    32¢-3¢
    11Tulsi Gabbard
    31%
    31¢-4¢
    12Pete Hegseth
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    13Donald J. Trump Jr.
    26%
    26¢—
    14Doug Burgum
    26%
    26¢-4¢
    15Vivek Ramaswamy
    26%
    26¢-3¢
    16Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
    25%
    25¢-2¢
    17Sarah Huckabee Sanders
    24%
    24¢-2¢
    18Tucker Carlson
    24%
    24¢-1¢
    19Steve Bannon
    22%
    22¢—
    20Gregory Bovino
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    21Nikki Haley
    21%
    21¢-2¢
    22Byron Donalds
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    23John Kennedy
    19%
    19¢-4¢
    24Donald J. Trump
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    25Greg Abbott
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    26Spencer Pratt
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    27Marjorie Taylor Greene
    16%
    16¢—
    28Jeff Bezos
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    29Elise Stefanik
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    30Erika Kirk
    13%
    13¢-1¢
    31Josh Hawley
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    32Larry Hogan
    13%
    13¢-4¢
    33Tim Scott
    12%
    12¢-4¢
    34Jared Kushner
    11¢-1¢
    35Katie Britt
    11¢-3¢
    36John Thune
    7¢-3¢
    37Matt Gaetz
    4¢-1¢
    38Elon Musk
    3¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2028

    ~437 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    38
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $502.6K

    Whale Activity

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