
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
Pete Hegseth leads by 49 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+
Pete Hegseth#1Pete Hegseth66%▼ 16
Kash Patel#2Kash Patel17%▲ 2
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.#3Robert F. Kennedy Jr.12%▼ 16
- Resolves
- Jan 20, 2029
- Volume
- $34.4K
- 24h
- $2.1K
- Candidates
- 3
Who’s winning
Top 3, each at its busiest venue
Pete Hegseth66%
Kash Patel17%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.12%
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Signals
2 signals- Pete Hegseth24h▼ 16¢ in 24h

- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.24h▼ 16¢ in 24h

Every candidate, every venue
1 venueChanceBest
Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.
Smart money
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In the news
About this market
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Sat, January 20, 2029