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    Next confirmed Army Secretary?

    Who will be the next Senate-confirmed Army Secretary?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2030
    Total Volume

    $16.4K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 3 platforms

    Frontrunner

    43¢

    Adam Telle

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -29¢

    Adam Telle

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    143¢44¢34¢51¢
    $5.9K
    -29¢—
    230¢21¢19¢51¢
    $5.6K
    -18¢—
    327¢4¢—51¢
    $2.0K
    -26¢—
    424¢5¢17¢51¢
    $384
    -19¢—
    521¢5¢8¢51¢
    $916
    -18¢—
    68¢5¢11¢—
    $237
    -5¢—
    78¢8¢8¢—
    $790
    -3¢—
    85¢5¢6¢—
    $452
    -4¢—
    94¢5¢4¢—
    $132
    -3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Adam Telle
    43%
    43¢-29¢
    2Sean Parnell
    30%
    30¢-18¢
    3Marc Andersen
    24%
    24¢-19¢
    4Brian Mast
    21%
    21¢-18¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2030

    ~1168 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    3
    Total Volume
    $16.4K

    Whale Activity

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