Global Elections

    First Speaker in the next Congress?

    Hakeem Jeffries leads by 95 pts

    1. Hakeem Jeffries#197%
    2. Ro Khanna#22%
    3. Joe Neguse#32%
    #4 Jim Jordan1%#5 Katherine Clark1%+3 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2031
    Volume
    $911.0K
    24h
    $83.4K
    Candidates
    8
    kalshipredictit2 venues · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Hakeem Jeffries97%
    • Ro Khanna2%
    • Joe Neguse2%
    • Jim Jordan1%
    • Katherine Clark1%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Hakeem Jeffries$719.9K vol97%—kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    Ro Khanna$99.5K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Joe Neguse$26.0K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Jim Jordan$25.6K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Katherine Clark$12.8K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Ted Lieu$8.0K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Pete Aguilar$1.5K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    Steve Scalise$17.6K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Hakeem Jeffries2¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • PredictIt
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, January 1, 2031
    kalshipredictitCompared across 2 venues

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