Who will announce a California departure in 2026?

    Who will announce a California departure in 2026? Live odds across 7 markets: Peter Thiel at 81¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Who will announce a California departure in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $21.9K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    81¢

    Peter Thiel

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Peter Thiel

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    181¢81¢
    $6.0K
    -4¢
    249¢49¢
    $3.9K
    -1¢
    337¢37¢
    $5.1K
    -4¢
    412¢12¢
    $2.3K
    -4¢
    510¢10¢
    $3.2K
    -3¢
    6
    $886
    -4¢
    7
    $485
    -3¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Peter Thiel
    81%
    81¢-4¢
    2Larry Page
    49%
    49¢-1¢
    3Mark Zuckerberg
    37%
    37¢-4¢
    4Chamath Palihapitiya
    12%
    12¢-4¢
    5Marc Andreessen
    10¢-3¢
    6Palmer Luckey
    -4¢
    7Jensen Huang
    -3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~110 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.9K

    Whale Activity

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