Local

    Who will announce a California departure in 2026?

    Chamath Palihapitiya leads by 1 pt · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. Chamath Palihapitiya#17%
    2. Jensen Huang#26%
    3. Palmer Luckey#35%
    #4 Mark Zuckerberg5%#5 Peter Thiel5%+2 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $37.8K
    24h
    $396
    Candidates
    7
    kalshi1 venue · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Chamath Palihapitiya7%
    • Jensen Huang6%
    • Palmer Luckey5%
    • Mark Zuckerberg5%
    • Peter Thiel5%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Palmer Luckey24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Larry Page24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Chamath Palihapitiya24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Chamath Palihapitiya$2.3K vol7%▼ 3kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Jensen Huang$1.7K vol6%▲ 1kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Palmer Luckey$971 vol5%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Mark Zuckerberg$10.9K vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Peter Thiel$10.3K vol5%▼ 1kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Larry Page$8.4K vol4%▼ 4kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Marc Andreessen$3.2K vol4%▼ 3kalshi7¢8¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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