TRADING OPEN

    Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $377.3K

    +$503 (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    11¢

    Thom Tillis

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Jerry Moran

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    16 markets
    #
    111¢11¢—
    $25.9K
    ——
    28¢8¢9¢
    $21.5K
    -2¢—
    38¢8¢5¢
    $4.6K+$26 24h
    —
    1¢
    48¢9¢6¢
    $44.5K+$116 24h
    -1¢
    2¢
    57¢7¢—
    $26.4K+$9 24h
    ——
    67¢7¢—
    $13.0K+$50 24h
    ——
    77¢8¢7¢
    $14.4K
    -1¢—
    87¢9¢5¢
    $5.7K
    -1¢
    1¢
    97¢7¢—
    $18.0K
    ——
    106¢6¢7¢
    $8.4K
    -2¢—
    116¢6¢6¢
    $56.0K+$30 24h
    ——
    126¢6¢7¢
    $53.9K+$172 24h
    ——
    136¢7¢5¢
    $38.5K
    -1¢—
    145¢5¢3¢
    $30.6K+$100 24h
    —
    1¢
    155¢5¢5¢
    $12.6K
    -1¢—
    162¢—2¢
    $3.3K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Jerry Moran
    8¢-2¢
    2Andy Kim
    8¢—
    3Mike Lee
    8¢-1¢
    4Kirsten Gillibrand
    7¢-1¢
    5Raphael Warnock
    7¢-1¢
    6Lisa Blunt Rochester
    6¢-2¢
    7Mark Warner
    6¢—
    8Josh Hawley
    6¢—
    9Ruben Gallego
    6¢-1¢
    10Rand Paul
    5¢—
    11Catherine Cortez Masto
    5¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~73 days remaining
    Category
    Crypto
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $377.3K

    Whale Activity

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