2028 US House winner?

    Democratic party leads by 57 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Democratic party#178%
    2. Republican party#221%
    Resolves
    Nov 21, 2028
    Volume
    $102.1K
    24h
    $2.6K
    Liquidity
    $477.2K
    Candidates
    2
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 2 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Democratic party78%
    • Republican party21%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Democratic party$66.5K vol78%▼ 1Polymarket US80¢fee unknown
    Republican party$35.6K vol21%—Polymarket US22¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the Democratic party has won control of the House in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2028 United States general election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the Hou…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 U.S. House Election Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Which party will win the US House in 2028?

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 21, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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