TRADING OPEN

    Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

    Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

    Resolves Jan 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $303.1K

    +$2.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    77¢

    Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -18¢

    Green Party

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    177¢77¢80¢
    $71.4K+$860 24h
    -5¢—
    262¢61¢68¢
    $31.9K+$55 24h
    -18¢—
    359¢57¢59¢
    $31.4K+$215 24h
    +1¢—
    4
    Left Party (V)📈 Trending
    23¢22¢25¢
    $47.9K+$543 24h
    -2¢—
    518¢18¢19¢
    $26.6K+$181 24h
    ——
    617¢17¢18¢
    $27.9K+$11 24h
    -3¢—
    7
    Liberals (L)📈 Trending
    15¢15¢18¢
    $29.7K+$400 24h
    -3¢—
    86¢6¢5¢
    $33.4K+$78 24h
    -1¢—
    90¢0¢—
    $3.0K
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
    77%
    77¢-5¢
    2Green Party
    62%
    62¢-18¢
    3Centre Party (C)
    59%
    59¢+1¢
    4Left Party (V)
    23%
    23¢-2¢
    5Christian Democrats (KD)
    18%
    18¢—
    6Moderate Party
    17%
    17¢-3¢
    7Liberals (L)
    15%
    15¢-3¢
    8Sweden Democrats
    6¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 31, 2027

    ~103 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $303.1K

    Whale Activity

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