TRADING OPEN

    Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2035
    Total Volume

    $24.6K

    +$140 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    14¢

    Cyril Ramaphosa

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Bola Tinubu

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    114¢14¢
    $2.4K+$14 24h
    -2¢—
    213¢13¢
    $2.8K+$14 24h
    -7¢—
    35¢5¢
    $2.2K+$14 24h
    -3¢—
    45¢5¢
    $1.1K+$14 24h
    -3¢—
    55¢5¢
    $247+$14 24h
    -2¢—
    65¢5¢
    $346+$14 24h
    -3¢—
    74¢4¢
    $10.5K+$14 24h
    -3¢—
    83¢3¢
    $1.8K+$14 24h
    -3¢—
    92¢2¢
    $1.0K+$14 24h
    -4¢—
    101¢1¢
    $2.3K+$14 24h
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Cyril Ramaphosa
    14%
    14¢-2¢
    2Bola Tinubu
    13%
    13¢-7¢
    3William Ruto
    5¢-3¢
    4Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
    5¢-3¢
    5John Mahama
    5¢-2¢
    6Abdelmadjid Tebboune
    5¢-3¢
    7Félix Tshisekedi
    4¢-3¢
    8Paul Kagame
    3¢-3¢
    9Taye Atske Selassie
    2¢-4¢
    10Emmerson Mnangagwa
    1¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2035

    ~2994 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $24.6K

    Whale Activity

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