Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

    Which leaders will leave office in 2026? Live odds across 36 markets: Gustavo Petro at 100¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $3.4M

    +$4.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    36

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    Gustavo Petro

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +10¢

    Aleksandar Vučić

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    36 markets · Showing 34
    #
    148¢48¢
    $16.3K+$75 24h
    -1¢
    246¢46¢
    $458.0K+$303 24h
    322¢22¢
    $324+$8 24h
    -2¢
    416¢16¢
    $29.8K+$481 24h
    514¢14¢
    $692.8K+$102 24h
    613¢13¢
    $21.3K
    -1¢
    711¢11¢
    $9.3K
    -3¢
    811¢11¢
    $33.7K
    910¢10¢
    $4.8K
    -3¢
    10
    $116.9K+$25 24h
    -1¢
    11
    $79.5K+$10 24h
    12
    $45.2K+$33 24h
    -2¢
    13
    $719.9K+$309 24h
    14
    $9.4K
    -2¢
    15
    $13.0K
    16
    $6.8K
    -3¢
    17
    $26.7K
    -2¢
    18
    $45.1K
    19
    $1.1K
    -3¢
    20
    $147.8K+$22 24h
    -1¢
    21
    $1.2K
    -2¢
    22
    $1.2K
    -3¢
    23
    $4.7K+$10 24h
    -1¢
    24
    $19.4K
    25
    $5.3K
    -2¢
    26
    $7.5K+$9 24h
    -2¢
    27
    $654.5K
    -1¢
    28
    $8.3K
    29
    $589
    -2¢
    30
    $3.9K
    -2¢
    31
    $5.2K
    -1¢
    32
    $14.8K
    -1¢
    33
    $6.1K
    -1¢
    34
    $23.3K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Christopher Luxon
    48%
    48¢-1¢
    2Benjamin Netanyahu
    46%
    46¢
    3Sébastien Lecornu
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    4Friedrich Merz
    16%
    16¢
    5Miguel Díaz-Canel
    14%
    14¢
    6Delcy Rodriguez
    13%
    13¢-1¢
    7Lee Jae Myung
    11¢-3¢
    8Pedro Sánchez
    11¢
    9Rodrigo Paz Pereira
    10¢-3¢
    10Volodymyr Zelenskyy
    -1¢
    11Emmanuel Macron
    12Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
    -2¢
    13Vladimir Putin
    14Jens-Frederik Nielsen
    -2¢
    15Mette Frederiksen
    16Ramzan Kadyrov
    -3¢
    17Ahmad al-Sharaa
    -2¢
    18Sanae Takaichi
    19Daniel Noboa
    -3¢
    20Claudia Sheinbaum
    -1¢
    21Denis Sassou Nguesso
    -2¢
    22Félix Tshisekedi
    -3¢
    23Mohammed bin Salman
    -1¢
    24Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
    25Javier Milei
    -2¢
    26Giorgia Meloni
    -2¢
    27Xi Jinping
    -1¢
    28Cyril Ramaphosa
    29Irfaan Ali
    -2¢
    30Frederik X
    -2¢
    31Narendra Modi
    -1¢
    32Mark Carney
    -1¢
    33Nayib Bukele
    -1¢
    34Kim Jong Un

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    36
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $3.4M

    Whale Activity

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