TRADING OPEN

    Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $4.1M

    +$13.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    35

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    48¢

    Christopher Luxon

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Pedro Sánchez

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    35 open
    #
    148¢48¢
    $17.0K
    -1¢—
    238¢38¢
    $574.0K+$591 24h
    ——
    321¢21¢
    $2.4K
    +4¢—
    416¢16¢
    $60.6K+$1.3K 24h
    -5¢—
    514¢14¢
    $149.3K+$2.2K 24h
    ——
    613¢13¢
    $749.7K+$7 24h
    ——
    79¢9¢
    $0
    -5¢—
    89¢9¢
    $134.0K+$1.9K 24h
    -1¢—
    98¢8¢
    $95.0K+$828 24h
    -1¢—
    107¢7¢
    $4.9K
    -3¢—
    117¢7¢
    $24.8K
    -2¢—
    127¢7¢
    $94.6K+$1.0K 24h
    +1¢—
    13
    Mette Frederiksen📈 Trending
    6¢6¢
    $13.4K+$11 24h
    -2¢—
    14
    Kim Jong Un📈 Trending
    6¢6¢
    $51.8K+$2.6K 24h
    -2¢—
    155¢5¢
    $9.9K
    -3¢—
    165¢5¢
    $7.0K
    -1¢—
    175¢5¢
    $27.7K
    -2¢—
    184¢4¢
    $787.5K+$74 24h
    ——
    194¢4¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    204¢4¢
    $48.1K
    -1¢—
    214¢4¢
    $8.6K
    -3¢—
    224¢4¢
    $1.3K
    -2¢—
    234¢4¢
    $1.3K
    -2¢—
    244¢4¢
    $20.9K
    -1¢—
    254¢4¢
    $65.3K
    -1¢—
    264¢4¢
    $7.9K
    -1¢—
    273¢3¢
    $8.4K+$7 24h
    -1¢—
    283¢3¢
    $5.4K+$2 24h
    -1¢—
    293¢3¢
    $9.5K
    -2¢—
    303¢3¢
    $150.2K
    -1¢—
    313¢3¢
    $611
    -2¢—
    323¢3¢
    $3.9K
    -2¢—
    333¢3¢
    $15.1K
    -1¢—
    343¢3¢
    $683.5K
    ——
    352¢2¢
    $6.3K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Christopher Luxon
    48%
    48¢-1¢
    2Benjamin Netanyahu
    38%
    38¢—
    3Sébastien Lecornu
    21%
    21¢+4¢
    4Pedro Sánchez
    16%
    16¢-5¢
    5Mohammed bin Salman
    14%
    14¢—
    6Miguel Díaz-Canel
    13%
    13¢—
    7Edi Rama
    9¢-5¢
    8Volodymyr Zelenskyy
    9¢-1¢
    9Emmanuel Macron
    8¢-1¢
    10Rodrigo Paz Pereira
    7¢-3¢
    11Delcy Rodriguez
    7¢-2¢
    12Friedrich Merz
    7¢+1¢
    13Mette Frederiksen
    6¢-2¢
    14Kim Jong Un
    6¢-2¢
    15Lee Jae Myung
    5¢-3¢
    16Ramzan Kadyrov
    5¢-1¢
    17Ahmad al-Sharaa
    5¢-2¢
    18Vladimir Putin
    4¢—
    19Denis Sassou Nguesso
    4¢-1¢
    20Sanae Takaichi
    4¢-1¢
    21Cyril Ramaphosa
    4¢-3¢
    22Daniel Noboa
    4¢-2¢
    23Félix Tshisekedi
    4¢-2¢
    24Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
    4¢-1¢
    25Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
    4¢-1¢
    26Narendra Modi
    4¢-1¢
    27Giorgia Meloni
    3¢-1¢
    28Javier Milei
    3¢-1¢
    29Jens-Frederik Nielsen
    3¢-2¢
    30Claudia Sheinbaum
    3¢-1¢
    31Irfaan Ali
    3¢-2¢
    32Frederik X
    3¢-2¢
    33Mark Carney
    3¢-1¢
    34Xi Jinping
    3¢—
    35Nayib Bukele
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    37
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $4.1M

    Whale Activity

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