Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

    United States leads by 21 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. United States#157%
    2. China#236%
    3. Russia#32%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2031
    Volume
    $197.8K
    24h
    $211
    Outcomes
    5
    kalshi1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • United States57%
    • China36%
    • Russia2%
    • European Space Agency1%
    • India1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    United States$91.0K vol57%▼ 2kalshi57¢59¢ after fees
    China$56.7K vol36%—kalshi36¢38¢ after fees
    Russia$15.0K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    European Space Agency$16.0K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    India$19.2K vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, January 1, 2031
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

    More in Science & Tech

    All Science & Tech