Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

    Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? Live odds across 18 markets: Uganda at 38¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
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    Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $78.6K

    +$308 (24h)

    Active Markets

    18

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    38¢

    Uganda

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Uganda

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    18 markets · Showing 18
    #
    138¢38¢
    $563+$81 24h
    -4¢
    218¢18¢
    $1.0K+$55 24h
    -2¢
    3
    Lebanon📈 Trending
    14¢14¢
    $8.1K+$100 24h
    +1¢
    4
    $7.8K
    -2¢
    5
    $3.0K
    -2¢
    6
    $533
    -1¢
    7
    $3.3K
    -2¢
    8
    $1.9K
    -2¢
    9
    $1.7K
    -2¢
    10
    $1.8K+$71 24h
    -1¢
    11
    $7.0K
    -2¢
    12
    $32.5K
    -2¢
    13
    $274
    -2¢
    14
    $194
    -1¢
    15
    $418
    -1¢
    16
    $323
    -1¢
    17
    $264
    -1¢
    18
    $7.8K
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Uganda
    38%
    38¢-4¢
    2Democratic Republic of the Congo
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    3Lebanon
    14%
    14¢+1¢
    4Syria
    -2¢
    5Yemen
    -2¢
    6South Sudan
    -1¢
    7Russia
    -2¢
    8Iraq
    -2¢
    9Afghanistan
    -2¢
    10Haiti
    -1¢
    11Ukraine
    -2¢
    12Iran
    -2¢
    13Libya
    -2¢
    14Burma (Myanmar)
    -1¢
    15Gaza
    -1¢
    16North Korea
    -1¢
    17Sudan
    -1¢
    18Somalia
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~129 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    18
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $78.6K

    Whale Activity

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