TRADING OPEN

    Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $80.5K

    +$1 (24h)

    Active Markets

    18

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    37¢

    Uganda

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Uganda

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    18 markets
    #
    137¢37¢
    $932
    -4¢—
    212¢12¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢—
    310¢10¢
    $8.5K
    -2¢—
    49¢9¢
    $8.2K
    -1¢—
    56¢6¢
    $3.1K
    -2¢—
    65¢5¢
    $533
    ——
    75¢5¢
    $32.6K
    -3¢—
    84¢4¢
    $268
    -2¢—
    9
    Iraq Hot
    4¢4¢
    $2.1K+$1 24h
    -2¢—
    103¢3¢
    $1.9K
    -2¢—
    11
    Ukraine📈 Trending
    3¢3¢
    $7.0K
    -2¢—
    123¢3¢
    $3.4K
    -2¢—
    133¢3¢
    $279
    -2¢—
    143¢3¢
    $419
    -2¢—
    152¢2¢
    $1.8K
    +1¢—
    162¢2¢
    $265
    -1¢—
    172¢2¢
    $323
    -1¢—
    181¢1¢
    $7.8K
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Uganda
    37%
    37¢-4¢
    2Democratic Republic of the Congo
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    3Syria
    10¢-2¢
    4Lebanon
    9¢-1¢
    5Yemen
    6¢-2¢
    6South Sudan
    5¢—
    7Iran
    5¢-3¢
    8Burma (Myanmar)
    4¢-2¢
    9Iraq
    4¢-2¢
    10Haiti
    3¢-2¢
    11Ukraine
    3¢-2¢
    12Russia
    3¢-2¢
    13Libya
    3¢-2¢
    14Gaza
    3¢-2¢
    15Afghanistan
    2¢+1¢
    16Sudan
    2¢-1¢
    17North Korea
    2¢-1¢
    18Somalia
    1¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    18
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $80.5K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...