TRADING OPEN

    Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $520.8K

    +$12.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    87¢

    Nigeria

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -12¢

    Nigeria

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 open
    #
    187¢—87¢
    $5.0K+$133 24h
    -12¢—
    264¢64¢—
    $9.8K+$7 24h
    -5¢—
    340¢40¢40¢
    $40.8K+$64 24h
    -4¢—
    430¢30¢34¢
    $11.0K+$44 24h
    -4¢—
    522¢21¢23¢
    $109.0K+$22 24h
    -6¢—
    621¢20¢21¢
    $51.0K+$21 24h
    -4¢—
    718¢16¢18¢
    $11.5K+$21 24h
    -6¢—
    814¢14¢—
    $8.4K+$33 24h
    +2¢—
    911¢11¢14¢
    $12.1K+$1.1K 24h
    +1¢—
    10
    India📈 Trending
    8¢8¢13¢
    $28.7K+$118 24h
    +1¢
    1¢
    118¢8¢—
    $6.8K+$505 24h
    ——
    127¢6¢8¢
    $15.4K
    -2¢—
    137¢7¢10¢
    $96.0K+$744 24h
    —
    1¢
    147¢7¢—
    $3.2K
    ——
    154¢4¢5¢
    $31.0K+$492 24h
    -5¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1South Sudan
    40%
    40¢-4¢
    2Somalia
    30%
    30¢-4¢
    3Republic of the Congo
    22%
    22¢-6¢
    4Rwanda
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    5Burundi
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    6Ethiopia
    11¢+1¢
    7India
    8¢+1¢
    8Canada
    7¢-2¢
    9United States
    7¢—
    10China
    4¢-5¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    18
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $520.8K

    Whale Activity

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