Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

    Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? Live odds across 16 markets: Somalia at 58¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $375.5K

    +$1.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    62¢

    South Sudan

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -50¢

    Kenya

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 6¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    16 markets · Showing 16
    #
    1
    South Sudan📈 Trending
    62¢54¢62¢
    $26.7K+$105 24h
    -2¢
    6¢🔥
    244¢16¢51¢
    $4.3K+$53 24h
    -31¢
    340¢45¢35¢
    $4.0K
    -23¢
    440¢17¢40¢
    $29.9K+$40 24h
    -50¢
    5
    Canada Hot
    28¢14¢28¢
    $5.6K+$137 24h
    -7¢
    4¢🔥
    627¢25¢29¢
    $10.5K
    -15¢
    727¢27¢
    $5.8K
    -1¢
    825¢25¢28¢
    $46.4K+$35 24h
    -1¢
    923¢23¢
    $7.3K+$4 24h
    +1¢
    1023¢23¢26¢
    $96.7K+$1.1K 24h
    -1¢
    1122¢22¢
    $3.5K
    -2¢
    1220¢19¢23¢
    $80.8K+$69 24h
    -2¢
    1314¢14¢14¢
    $18.8K
    -3¢
    1412¢12¢16¢
    $4.9K+$233 24h
    -2¢
    1510¢10¢12¢
    $27.4K+$139 24h
    -1¢
    16
    $3.0K
    -5¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1South Sudan
    62%
    62¢-2¢
    2Ethiopia
    44%
    44¢-31¢
    3Somalia
    40%
    40¢-23¢
    4Kenya
    40%
    40¢-50¢
    5Canada
    28%
    28¢-7¢
    6Burundi
    27%
    27¢-15¢
    7Rwanda
    25%
    25¢-1¢
    8Republic of the Congo
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    9United States
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    10India
    14%
    14¢-3¢
    11Nigeria
    12%
    12¢-2¢
    12China
    10¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~129 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $375.5K
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

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