Trump

    Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

    Portugal leads by 4 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Portugal#111%
    2. South Korea#27%
    3. Oman#36%
    #4 Germany5%#5 Japan4%+23 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $1.1M
    24h
    $5.7K
    Liquidity
    $60.1K
    Candidates
    28
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 29 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Portugal11%
    • South Korea7%
    • Oman6%
    • Germany5%
    • Japan4%
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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Portugal24h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Oman24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. South Korea24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. Ukraine24h
      5¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Portugal$152 vol11%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢20¢ after fees
    South Korea$17.5K vol7%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Oman$3.6K vol6%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Germany$56.5K vol5%▼ 3kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Japan$78.8K vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Israel$110.1K vol4%▼ 1kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Syria$2.0K vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢7¢ after fees
    North Korea$113.4K vol2%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    Canada$18.8K vol2%—kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Saudi Arabia$36.5K vol2%▼ 1kalshi3¢4¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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