Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

    Google leads by 70 pts · 10 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Google#181%
    2. Kandinsky#211%
    3. Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH#310%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $13.2K
    24h
    $650
    Outcomes
    18
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 18 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Google81%
    • Kandinsky11%
    • Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH10%
    • Tencent10%
    • Pruna9%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Tencent24h
      ▼ 17¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Kandinsky24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. MiniMax24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Google$3.5K vol81%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US88¢88¢ after fees
    Kandinsky$2.3K vol11%▼ 10Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US21¢22¢ after fees
    Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH$915 vol10%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢20¢ after fees
    Tencent$319 vol10%▼ 17Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US19¢20¢ after fees
    Pruna$265 vol9%▼ 8Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US18¢19¢ after fees
    MiniMax$285 vol9%▼ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US18¢18¢ after fees
    Black Forest Labs$305 vol8%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US17¢17¢ after fees
    OpenAI$2.2K vol8%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US13¢13¢ after fees
    Luma AI$246 vol8%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢15¢ after fees
    KlingAI$301 vol5%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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