TRADING OPEN

    Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

    This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.0K

    +$10 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    51¢

    Anthropic

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    DeepSeek

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    151¢51¢—
    $4.4K
    ——
    245¢4¢86¢
    $4.5K
    -3¢
    77¢
    338¢38¢—
    $2.7K+$4 24h
    ——
    415¢5¢15¢
    $7.8K+$7 24h
    -1¢
    4¢
    55¢5¢—
    $231
    -7¢—
    65¢5¢—
    $206
    -6¢—
    74¢4¢—
    $206
    -9¢—
    84¢4¢—
    $227
    -4¢—
    94¢4¢—
    $206
    -9¢—
    104¢4¢—
    $224
    -6¢—
    114¢4¢—
    $206
    -3¢—
    121¢1¢—
    $206
    -1¢—
    131¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    141¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    151¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    161¢1¢—
    $244
    ——
    171¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    181¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    191¢1¢—
    $186
    ——
    201¢1¢—
    $206
    ——
    211¢1¢—
    $221
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Meta
    45%
    45¢-3¢
    2OpenAI
    15%
    15¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $23.0K

    Whale Activity

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