TRADING OPEN

    Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

    Resolves Oct 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $53.0K

    +$526 (24h)

    Active Markets

    21

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    82¢

    Anthropic

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Google

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    21 markets
    #
    182¢82¢
    $18.2K+$5 24h
    -2¢—
    215¢15¢
    $11.7K
    -2¢—
    33¢3¢
    $3.6K
    -4¢—
    41¢1¢
    $253
    ——
    51¢1¢
    $983
    -1¢—
    61¢1¢
    $1.2K
    ——
    71¢1¢
    $1.5K
    ——
    81¢1¢
    $858
    ——
    91¢1¢
    $2.1K
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $1.6K
    ——
    110¢0¢
    $617
    ——
    120¢0¢
    $649
    ——
    130¢0¢
    $543
    ——
    140¢0¢
    $1.1K
    ——
    150¢0¢
    $1.1K
    ——
    160¢0¢
    $1.4K
    ——
    170¢0¢
    $1.4K
    ——
    180¢0¢
    $2.0K+$441 24h
    ——
    190¢0¢
    $1.6K+$80 24h
    ——
    200¢0¢
    $386
    ——
    210¢0¢
    $283
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Anthropic
    82%
    82¢-2¢
    2OpenAI
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    3Google
    3¢-4¢
    4Xiaomi
    1¢—
    5Moonshot
    1¢-1¢
    6Tencent
    1¢—
    7Baidu
    1¢—
    8Z.ai
    1¢—
    9Meta
    1¢—
    10SpaceXAI
    0¢—
    11Thinky
    0¢—
    12Amazon
    0¢—
    13MiniMax
    0¢—
    14ByteDance
    0¢—
    15Alibaba
    0¢—
    16StepFun
    0¢—
    17DeepSeek
    0¢—
    18Microsoft
    0¢—
    19Mistral
    0¢—
    20Nvidia
    0¢—
    21Meituan
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 31, 2026

    ~11 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    21
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $53.0K

    Whale Activity

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