Science & Tech

    Which company has the best AI model on December 15?

    Google leads by 51 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Google#175%
    2. Anthropic#224%
    3. OpenAI#31%
    #4 Meta1%#5 Moonshot1%+16 more
    Resolves
    Dec 15, 2026
    Volume
    $19.0K
    24h
    $5.6K
    Outcomes
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Google75%
    • Anthropic24%
    • OpenAI1%
    • Meta1%
    • Moonshot1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Google24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Google$3.0K vol75%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US76¢77¢ after fees
    Anthropic$2.8K vol24%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US25¢26¢ after fees
    OpenAI$864 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Meta$967 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    Moonshot$873 vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2¢2¢ after fees
    Thinky$545 vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    MiniMax$678 vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Amazon$530 vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Mistral$646 vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Xiaomi$1.3K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, December 15, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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