Science & Tech

    Which company has the best AI model end of November?

    Google leads by 74 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Google#186%
    2. Anthropic#212%
    3. OpenAI#31%
    #4 xAI1%#5 Nvidia<1%+17 more
    Resolves
    Dec 14, 2026
    Volume
    $1.5M
    24h
    $79.9K
    Liquidity
    $1.1M
    Outcomes
    22
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 22 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Google86%
    • Anthropic12%
    • OpenAI1%
    • xAI1%
    • Nvidia<1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Anthropic24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    2. Google24h
      ▲ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Google$308.0K vol86%▲ 3Polymarket US85¢fee unknown
    Anthropic$318.4K vol12%▼ 6Polymarket US14¢fee unknown
    OpenAI$177.8K vol1%—Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    xAI$0 vol1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Nvidia$1.1K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Thinky$1.9K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Amazon$2.3K vol<1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown
    Tencent$3.5K vol<1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Meta$146.8K vol<1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Xiaomi$37.4K vol<1%—Polymarket US1¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of November?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, December 14, 2026
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

    More in Science & Tech

    All Science & Tech