Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

    Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Live odds across 15 markets: Anthropic at 60¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $1.8M

    +$3.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    71¢

    Anthropic

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +2¢

    Anthropic

    Arb Opportunities

    3

    Best gross: 20¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 15
    #
    171¢72¢59¢
    $326.9K+$960 24h
    +2¢
    11¢🔥
    2
    OpenAI📈 Trending
    14¢28¢
    $231.6K+$406 24h
    -1¢
    20¢🔥
    311¢11¢11¢
    $224.8K+$704 24h
    -1¢
    4
    $51.2K+$131 24h
    5
    $203.6K+$681 24h
    5¢🔥
    6
    $143.3K+$30 24h
    7
    $124.6K+$101 24h
    8
    $120.8K+$131 24h
    1¢
    9
    $97.6K+$101 24h
    10
    $58.2K+$101 24h
    11
    $53.0K+$101 24h
    12
    $39.8K+$197 24h
    13
    $46.8K+$101 24h
    14
    $41.3K+$101 24h
    15
    $37.9K+$101 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Anthropic
    71%
    71¢+2¢
    2OpenAI
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    3xAI
    11¢-1¢
    4Google
    5Moonshot
    6DeepSeek
    7Z.ai
    8Alibaba
    9Baidu

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $1.8M
    Arb Opportunities
    3

    Whale Activity

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