Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

    Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? Live odds across 12 markets: OpenAI at 25¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

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    Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $328.2K

    +$36 (24h)

    Active Markets

    12

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    OpenAI

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    ByteDance

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    12 markets · Showing 12
    #
    1
    OpenAI
    		25¢25¢
    $110.1K+$36 24h
    		-1¢—
    2
    xAI
    		14¢14¢
    $86.1K
    		-2¢—
    3
    Meta
    		14¢14¢
    $34.1K
    		——
    4
    Moonshot AI
    		13¢13¢
    $5.3K
    		-1¢—
    5
    Z.ai
    		11¢11¢
    $4.1K
    		-3¢—
    6
    Alibaba
    		10¢10¢
    $14.4K
    		-4¢—
    7
    Nvidia
    		9¢9¢
    $34.4K
    		——
    8
    Deepseek
    		8¢8¢
    $21.0K
    		-4¢—
    9
    ByteDance
    		8¢8¢
    $3.7K
    		-4¢—
    10
    Baidu
    		7¢7¢
    $11.6K
    		-4¢—
    11
    Mistral
    		5¢5¢
    $2.8K
    		-1¢—
    12
    01A1
    		4¢4¢
    $690
    		-3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1OpenAI
    25%
    25¢-1¢
    2xAI
    14%
    14¢-2¢
    3Meta
    14%
    14¢—
    4Moonshot AI
    13%
    13¢-1¢
    5Z.ai
    11¢-3¢
    6Alibaba
    10¢-4¢
    7Nvidia
    9¢—
    8Deepseek
    8¢-4¢
    9ByteDance
    8¢-4¢
    10Baidu
    7¢-4¢
    11Mistral
    5¢-1¢
    1201A1
    4¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~130 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    12
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $328.2K

    Whale Activity

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