Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

    Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? Live odds across 14 markets: Google at 51¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $37.7K

    +$35 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    41¢

    Google

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -16¢

    Google

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets · Showing 8
    #
    141¢51¢
    $8.7K+$15 24h
    -16¢
    232¢33¢
    $8.1K+$20 24h
    -2¢
    314¢15¢
    $2.4K
    414¢14¢
    $5.0K
    510¢10¢
    $1.3K
    610¢10¢
    $2.3K
    710¢10¢
    $2.2K
    810¢10¢
    $1.2K

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Google
    41%
    41¢-16¢
    2OpenAI
    32%
    32¢-2¢
    3Meta
    14%
    14¢
    4xAI
    14%
    14¢
    5Amazon
    10¢
    6Microsoft
    10¢
    7ByteDance
    10¢
    8DeepSeek
    10¢
    9Moonshot
    10Z.ai
    11Baidu
    12Alibaba
    13Meituan
    14Mistral

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $37.7K

    Whale Activity

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