Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

    Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? Live odds across 14 markets: OpenAI at 28¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $130.2K

    +$472 (24h)

    Active Markets

    14

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    OpenAI

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    OpenAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    14 markets · Showing 14
    #
    1
    OpenAI
    		28¢28¢
    $23.8K+$472 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Google
    		17¢17¢
    $17.3K
    		——
    3
    xAI
    		13¢13¢
    $9.0K
    		——
    4
    Meta
    		12¢12¢
    $14.9K
    		——
    5
    Alibaba
    		12¢12¢
    $3.6K
    		——
    6
    Moonshot
    		11¢11¢
    $9.2K
    		-1¢—
    7
    Z.ai
    		9¢9¢
    $2.6K
    		——
    8
    ByteDance
    		8¢8¢
    $2.9K
    		——
    9
    Baidu
    		7¢7¢
    $2.0K
    		——
    10
    DeepSeek
    		7¢7¢
    $20.8K
    		——
    11
    Microsoft
    		5¢5¢
    $5.2K
    		——
    12
    Amazon
    		3¢3¢
    $5.2K
    		——
    13
    Mistral
    		3¢3¢
    $10.3K
    		——
    14
    Meituan
    		3¢3¢
    $3.4K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1OpenAI
    28%
    28¢-2¢
    2Google
    17%
    17¢—
    3xAI
    13%
    13¢—
    4Meta
    12%
    12¢—
    5Alibaba
    12%
    12¢—
    6Moonshot
    11¢-1¢
    7Z.ai
    9¢—
    8ByteDance
    8¢—
    9Baidu
    7¢—
    10DeepSeek
    7¢—
    11Microsoft
    5¢—
    12Amazon
    3¢—
    13Mistral
    3¢—
    14Meituan
    3¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~128 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    14
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $130.2K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...