International

    Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

    M + KD + L + C leads by 15 pts · 6 candidates at 5%+

    1. M + KD + L + C#135%
    2. S + MP + C + V#220%
    3. S + MP + C#319%
    #4 M + KD + L + SD10%#5 S + MP8%+16 more
    Resolves
    Jul 31, 2027
    Volume
    $311.8K
    24h
    $18.4K
    Candidates
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • M + KD + L + C35%
    • S + MP + C + V20%
    • S + MP + C19%
    • M + KD + L + SD10%
    • S + MP8%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Claim offer 1 / 5

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. M + KD + L + C24h
      ▼ 15¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. S + MP + C + V24h
      ▲ 14¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. S + MP + C24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    M + KD + L + C$44.5K vol35%▼ 15Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US42¢43¢ after fees
    S + MP + C + V$42.0K vol20%▲ 14Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US27¢28¢ after fees
    S + MP + C$33.7K vol19%▼ 5Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢21¢ after fees
    M + KD + L + SD$27.3K vol10%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    S + MP$28.2K vol8%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    S + MP + V$11.3K vol6%▲ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢8¢ after fees
    M + KD + L$23.0K vol5%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢6¢ after fees
    S$22.2K vol5%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    Other$9.2K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    M + KD + SD$6.9K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, July 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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