Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

    Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? Live odds across 18 markets: Labour + NZF at 76¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027
    Total Volume

    $7.7K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    18

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    51¢

    National + ACT + NZF

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -55¢

    National + ACT + Maori

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    18 markets · Showing 8
    #
    151¢69¢
    $989
    -14¢
    239¢76¢
    $364
    +35¢
    334¢65¢
    $527
    -39¢
    429¢54¢
    $448
    +21¢
    525¢41¢
    $407
    -55¢
    624¢47¢
    $400
    -5¢
    721¢42¢
    $457
    -20¢
    820¢32¢
    $454
    -12¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1National + ACT + NZF
    51%
    51¢-14¢
    2Labour + NZF
    39%
    39¢+35¢
    3Labour + Green
    34%
    34¢-39¢
    4National + ACT
    29%
    29¢+21¢
    5National + ACT + Maori
    25%
    25¢-55¢
    6Labour + Green + NZF
    24%
    24¢-5¢
    7Other
    21%
    21¢-20¢
    8Labour + Green + Maori
    20%
    20¢-12¢
    9National
    19%
    19¢+4¢
    10National + Maori
    18%
    18¢-17¢
    11National + Labour
    -3¢
    12Labour
    -1¢
    13Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
    -1¢
    14National + NZF + Maori
    -1¢
    15National + ACT + NZF + Maori
    16National + NZF
    17Labour + Maori + NZF
    18Labour + Maori

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2027

    ~564 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    18
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.7K

    Whale Activity

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