TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

    Resolves Nov 1, 2026
    Total Volume

    $10.3K

    +$1.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    19¢

    OpenAI

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -23¢

    OpenAI

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 15
    #
    1
    OpenAI
    		19¢19¢
    $333+$10 24h
    		-23¢—
    2
    Anthropic
    		17¢17¢
    $110
    		+1¢—
    3
    Google
    		7¢7¢
    $1.0K
    		-1¢—
    4
    Meituan
    		6¢6¢
    $230+$3 24h
    		+2¢—
    5
    ByteDance
    		6¢6¢
    $482+$87 24h
    		-5¢—
    6
    Meta
    		6¢6¢
    $1.0K+$61 24h
    		-6¢—
    7
    Mistral📈 Trending
    		6¢6¢
    $252+$59 24h
    		-2¢—
    8
    Baidu
    		5¢5¢
    $186
    		-2¢—
    9
    Microsoft📈 Trending
    		5¢5¢
    $1.5K+$113 24h
    		-2¢—
    10
    Amazon📈 Trending
    		5¢5¢
    $1.9K+$666 24h
    		-5¢—
    11
    Alibaba
    		5¢5¢
    $77+$31 24h
    		——
    12
    DeepSeek
    		4¢4¢
    $380
    		-1¢—
    13
    SpaceXAI
    		3¢3¢
    $1.6K+$40 24h
    		-3¢—
    14
    Moonshot
    		3¢3¢
    $643
    		-2¢—
    15
    Z.ai
    		3¢3¢
    $411
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1OpenAI
    19%
    19¢-23¢
    2Anthropic
    17%
    17¢+1¢
    3Google
    7¢-1¢
    4Meituan
    6¢+2¢
    5ByteDance
    6¢-5¢
    6Meta
    6¢-6¢
    7Mistral
    6¢-2¢
    8Baidu
    5¢-2¢
    9Microsoft
    5¢-2¢
    10Amazon
    5¢-5¢
    11Alibaba
    5¢—
    12DeepSeek
    4¢-1¢
    13SpaceXAI
    3¢-3¢
    14Moonshot
    3¢-2¢
    15Z.ai
    3¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 1, 2026

    ~39 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $10.3K

    Whale Activity

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