Where will it rain on September 4?

    Where will it rain on September 4? Live odds across 22 markets: Trenton at 100¢. Resolves Sep 4, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Sep 4, 2026

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Where will it rain on September 4?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on September 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

    Resolves Sep 4, 2026
    Total Volume

    $870.3K

    +$670.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    22

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    Trenton

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -82¢

    Newark

    Arb Opportunities

    1

    Best gross: 10.2¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    22 markets · Showing 15
    #
    1100¢99¢100¢
    $25.8K+$21.3K 24h
    +18¢
    2100¢96¢100¢
    $115.9K+$102.2K 24h
    +19¢
    1¢
    3100¢99¢100¢
    $15.5K+$4.3K 24h
    +12¢
    4100¢78¢100¢
    $109.6K+$84.3K 24h
    +22¢
    550¢55¢50¢
    $76.5K+$68.2K 24h
    +33¢
    650¢23¢50¢
    $17.4K+$14.4K 24h
    +45¢
    749¢50¢
    $11.5K+$9.5K 24h
    +20¢
    855¢
    $58.9K+$56.3K 24h
    -72¢
    10¢🔥
    940¢
    $16.6K+$10.3K 24h
    -43¢
    1¢
    1022¢
    $10.6K+$9.7K 24h
    -12¢
    11
    $15.1K+$11.6K 24h
    -7¢
    1¢
    12
    $15.6K+$8.5K 24h
    -2¢
    13
    $13.4K+$10.7K 24h
    -14¢
    14
    $135.5K+$84.1K 24h
    -80¢
    15
    $84.1K+$78.4K 24h
    -65¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Miami, FL
    100%
    100¢+18¢
    2Philadelphia, PA
    100%
    100¢+19¢
    3New Orleans, LA
    100%
    100¢+12¢
    4New York City
    100%
    100¢+22¢
    5Seattle
    50%
    50¢+33¢
    6San Francisco, CA
    50%
    50¢+45¢
    7Phoenix, AZ
    49%
    49¢+20¢
    8Houston, TX
    -72¢
    9Dallas
    -43¢
    10Boston
    -12¢
    11Atlanta, GA
    -7¢
    12Los Angeles, CA
    -2¢
    13Denver, CO
    -14¢
    14Washington DC
    -80¢
    15Chicago
    -65¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 4, 2026

    ~0 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    22
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $870.3K
    Arb Opportunities
    1

    Whale Activity

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