Celebrities

    Where will it rain on November 15?

    Dallas and Oklahoma City are level · 11 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Dallas#199%
    2. Oklahoma City#299%
    3. Austin#398%
    #4 Houston98%#5 San Francisco98%+31 more
    Resolves
    Nov 29, 2026
    Volume
    $21.6K
    24h
    $18.5K
    Liquidity
    $394
    Outcomes
    36
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 36 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Dallas99%
    • Oklahoma City99%
    • Austin98%
    • Houston98%
    • San Francisco98%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Dallas$509 vol99%—kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Oklahoma City$437 vol99%—kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Austin$231 vol98%—kalshi99¢100¢ after fees
    Houston$289 vol98%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    San Francisco$254 vol98%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    San Antonio$165 vol98%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees
    Seattle$470 vol97%—kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    College Station$302 vol97%—kalshi97¢98¢ after fees
    Pittsburgh$3.1K vol72%—kalshi73¢75¢ after fees
    New Orleans$1.5K vol27%—kalshi28¢30¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the total precipitation at CLIDFW in Dallas in Nov 15, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precip…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Where will it rain on Nov 15?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches, and this market will resolve to "No". If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Sun, November 29, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

    More in Celebrities

    All Celebrities