Where will it rain on August 31?

    Where will it rain on August 31? Live odds across 22 markets: New York, NY at 100¢. Resolves Sep 2, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolved

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Where will it rain on August 31?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

    Resolved
    Total Volume

    $658.0K

    +$458.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    22

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    New York, NY

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +100¢

    Chicago, IL

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    22 markets · Showing 22
    #
    1100¢100¢100¢
    $92.2K+$85.3K 24h
    +99¢
    2100¢100¢100¢
    $98.6K+$74.6K 24h
    +99¢
    3100¢100¢100¢
    $44.5K+$30.6K 24h
    +100¢
    4100¢100¢100¢
    $47.1K+$27.7K 24h
    +100¢
    5100¢100¢100¢
    $23.0K+$7.8K 24h
    +100¢
    6100¢100¢100¢
    $11.3K+$4.7K 24h
    +100¢
    7100¢100¢
    $38.7K
    +100¢
    8
    $92.5K+$80.9K 24h
    9
    $39.9K+$28.6K 24h
    10
    $24.2K+$17.8K 24h
    -5¢
    11
    $16.9K+$10.9K 24h
    12
    $10.3K+$7.0K 24h
    13
    $7.3K+$5.4K 24h
    14
    $9.7K+$4.7K 24h
    15
    $9.0K+$3.9K 24h
    16
    $9.1K+$3.4K 24h
    17
    $26.4K+$23.6K 24h
    18
    $23.1K+$18.2K 24h
    19
    $14.5K+$10.8K 24h
    20
    $7.6K+$6.1K 24h
    21
    $6.9K+$3.5K 24h
    22
    $5.4K+$2.3K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1New York, NY
    100%
    100¢+99¢
    2Miami, FL
    100%
    100¢+99¢
    3Chicago, IL
    100%
    100¢+100¢
    4Houston, TX
    100%
    100¢+100¢
    5Phoenix, AZ
    100%
    100¢+100¢
    6New Orleans, LA
    100%
    100¢+100¢
    7Denver, CO
    8Philadelphia, PA
    9Washington, DC
    -5¢
    10Los Angeles, CA
    11San Francisco, CA
    12Boston, MA
    13Seattle
    14Dallas, TX
    15Atlanta, GA

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    Resolved

    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    22
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $658.0K

    Whale Activity

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