Weather

    When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

    November 15 - 30, 2026 leads by 77 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. November 15 - 30, 2026#187%
    2. Before November 15, 2026#210%
    3. December 1 - 15, 2026#34%
    #4 No return before January 1, 20272%#5 December 16 - 31, 20261%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $29.0K
    24h
    $4.8K
    Outcomes
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • November 15 - 30, 202687%
    • Before November 15, 202610%
    • December 1 - 15, 20264%
    • No return before January 1, 20272%
    • December 16 - 31, 20261%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before November 15, 202624h
      ▼ 37¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. November 15 - 30, 202624h
      ▲ 28¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. No return before January 1, 202724h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    November 15 - 30, 2026$8.8K vol87%▲ 28Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢no fee
    Before November 15, 2026$9.8K vol10%▼ 37Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢no fee
    December 1 - 15, 2026$3.2K vol4%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢no fee
    No return before January 1, 2027$2.0K vol2%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee
    December 16 - 31, 2026$5.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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