When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released? Live odds across 15 markets: No release by November 1 at 38¢. Resolves Nov 1, 2026. Not financial advice
Resolves Nov 1, 2026
- Prior to August 31: Yes 7¢ (polymarket)
- No release by November 1: Yes 38¢ (polymarket)
- September 28–October 4: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
- October 26–November 1: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
- October 19–October 25: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
- September 7–September 13: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
- September 21–September 27: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- October 5–October 11: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
- August 31–September 6: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
- October 12–October 18: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
- September 14–September 20: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
- Before Jul 31, 2026: Yes 0¢ (kalshi)
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
$492.7K
+$3.5K (24h)
15
Across 2 platforms
38¢
No release by November 1
-11¢
Before Aug 7, 2026
0
None detected
All Markets
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
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