When will Google release Gemini 4?

    When will Google release Gemini 4? Live odds across 7 markets: Before Dec 1, 2026 at 86¢. Resolves Jan 1, 2027. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    When will Google release Gemini 4?

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $30.3K

    +$700 (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    86¢

    Before Dec 1, 2026

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Before Dec 15, 2026

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #
    186¢86¢
    $4.0K+$700 24h
    -2¢
    285¢85¢
    $46
    -5¢
    385¢85¢
    $1.2K
    -5¢
    479¢79¢
    $867
    -4¢
    568¢68¢
    $3.3K
    610¢10¢
    $20.2K
    -2¢
    7
    $641
    -2¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Before Dec 1, 2026
    86%
    86¢-2¢
    2Before Dec 15, 2026
    85%
    85¢-5¢
    3Before Jan 1, 2027
    85%
    85¢-5¢
    4Before Nov 15, 2026
    79%
    79¢-4¢
    5Before Nov 1, 2026
    68%
    68¢
    6Before Oct 1, 2026
    10¢-2¢
    7Before Sep 16, 2026
    -2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~110 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $30.3K

    Whale Activity

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