TRADING OPEN

    What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

    Resolves Jan 20, 2029
    Total Volume

    $22.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    27¢

    World Trade Organization

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Inter-American Development Bank

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    127¢27¢
    $5.5K
    -2¢—
    2
    —
    19¢19¢
    $1.1K
    -4¢—
    319¢19¢
    $713
    -4¢—
    418¢18¢
    $293
    -4¢—
    517¢17¢
    $254
    -4¢—
    614¢14¢
    $1.4K
    -4¢—
    711¢11¢
    $9.1K
    -1¢—
    8
    —
    6¢6¢
    $1.1K
    -4¢—
    9
    —
    6¢6¢
    $1.5K
    -4¢—
    103¢3¢
    $1.1K
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1World Trade Organization
    27%
    27¢-2¢
    2OECD
    19%
    19¢-4¢
    3World Bank Group
    19%
    19¢-4¢
    4Inter-American Development Bank
    18%
    18¢-4¢
    5International Monetary Fund
    17%
    17¢-4¢
    6Interpol
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    7United Nations
    11¢-1¢
    8G20
    6¢-4¢
    9G7
    6¢-4¢
    10International Atomic Energy Agency
    3¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 20, 2029

    ~822 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $22.1K

    Whale Activity

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