What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

    What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season? Live odds across 5 markets: At least 3.0°C at 50¢. Resolves Aug 15, 2027. Not financial advi

    Resolves Aug 15, 2027

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    What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

    Resolves Aug 15, 2027
    Total Volume

    $45.6K

    +$806 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    50¢

    At least 3.0°C

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    At least 3.0°C

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    150¢50¢
    $21.2K
    -6¢
    236¢36¢
    $10.8K+$583 24h
    -3¢
    3
    $8.5K+$223 24h
    -1¢
    4
    $4.1K
    -3¢
    5
    $1.1K
    -1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1At least 3.0°C
    50%
    50¢-6¢
    22.5°C to 2.9°C
    36%
    36¢-3¢
    32.0°C to 2.4°C
    -1¢
    41.5°C to 1.9°C
    -3¢
    5Below 1.5°C
    -1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Aug 15, 2027

    ~355 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $45.6K

    Whale Activity

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