Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $6.6M

    +$2.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    4.0%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    3.75%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    4.0%
    		34¢36¢
    $1.4M+$78 24h
    		——
    2
    3.75%📈 Trending
    		30¢33¢
    $521.6K+$55 24h
    		-4¢—
    3
    4.25%
    		17¢19¢
    $417.8K+$52 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    3.5%
    		8¢8¢
    $196.2K+$37 24h
    		——
    5
    3.25%
    		5¢5¢
    $53.2K+$26 24h
    		——
    6
    3.0%📈 Trending
    		4¢4¢
    $461.8K+$26 24h
    		——
    7
    ≥ 4.5%
    		3¢4¢
    $2.4M+$386 24h
    		-1¢—
    8
    2.5%
    		1¢2¢
    $164.7K+$61 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    14.0%
    34%
    34¢—
    23.75%
    30%
    30¢-4¢
    34.25%
    17%
    17¢-1¢
    43.5%
    8¢—
    53.25%
    5¢—
    63.0%
    4¢—
    7≥ 4.5%
    3¢-1¢
    82.5%
    1¢—
    92.75%
    1¢—
    101.25
    1¢-1¢
    111.5%
    1¢—
    121.75%
    1¢—
    132.0%
    1¢—
    14≤1.0%
    0¢—
    152.25%
    0¢—

    Price History

    4.0%3.75%4.25%3.5%
    Jun 4 21:00Jun 5 22:00Jun 6 23:00Jun 8 00:00Jun 9 01:00Jun 10 02:00Jun 11 10:581.5%16.5%31.5%59.4%

    Related reading

    External
    Economics

    Fed still forecasts only 1 rate cut next year

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Fed Funds Rate Forecast 2026-2031 | StreetStats

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    Fed to hold rates this year, cut calls fade as war inflation persists, economists say | MarketScreener UK

    1 minReuters
    Economics

    Fed Dot Plot Guide: What It May Mean for Rates in 2026

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~204 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.6M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 8.5% in 24h

      4.25% · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 47.4% in 24h

      1.25 · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 16.7% in 24h

      1.5% · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 11, 10:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      2.5% · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 11, 9:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 50.0% in 24h

      2.5% · Polymarket