What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

    What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Live odds across 15 markets: 3.75% at 43¢. Resolves Dec 9, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 9, 2026

    • ≤1.0%: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.25%: Yes 13¢ (polymarket)
    • 4.0%: Yes 31¢ (polymarket)
    • ≥ 4.5%: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
    • 1.25: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 2.0%: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.25%: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    • 3.75%: Yes 43¢ (polymarket)
    • 2.25%: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 1.5%: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 1.75%: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 2.75%: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

    Resolves Dec 9, 2026
    Total Volume

    $6.8M

    +$5.5K (24h)

    Active Markets

    15

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    43¢

    3.75%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    4.0%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    15 markets · Showing 15
    #
    1
    3.75%📈 Trending
    43¢43¢
    $532.6K+$317 24h
    -1¢
    2
    4.0%📈 Trending
    31¢31¢
    $1.4M+$457 24h
    -2¢
    3
    4.25%📈 Trending
    13¢13¢
    $429.1K+$558 24h
    +1¢
    4
    $203.2K+$260 24h
    -1¢
    5
    ≥ 4.5%📈 Trending
    $2.4M+$360 24h
    -1¢
    6
    $66.7K+$319 24h
    -1¢
    7
    2.75%📈 Trending
    $61.7K+$293 24h
    8
    1.25📈 Trending
    $143.7K+$335 24h
    9
    3.0%📈 Trending
    $489.3K+$273 24h
    -1¢
    10
    2.5%📈 Trending
    $173.6K+$254 24h
    11
    $249.0K+$882 24h
    12
    1.5%📈 Trending
    $147.0K+$298 24h
    13
    2.25%📈 Trending
    $88.6K+$298 24h
    14
    $264.5K+$334 24h
    15
    1.75%📈 Trending
    $149.3K+$294 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    13.75%
    43%
    43¢-1¢
    24.0%
    31%
    31¢-2¢
    34.25%
    13%
    13¢+1¢
    43.5%
    -1¢
    5≥ 4.5%
    -1¢
    63.25%
    -1¢
    72.75%
    81.25
    93.0%
    -1¢
    102.5%
    11≤1.0%
    121.5%
    132.25%
    142.0%
    151.75%

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 9, 2026

    ~106 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    15
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $6.8M

    Whale Activity

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