Mentions

    What will Target say during their next earnings call?

    Tariff leads by 2 pts · 20 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Tariff#194%
    2. Back to School#292%
    3. Beauty (3+ times)#391%
    #4 Affordable / Affordability90%#5 Roundel86%+16 more
    Resolves
    Nov 18, 2026
    Volume
    $4.0K
    24h
    $982
    Liquidity
    $909
    Outcomes
    21
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Tariff94%
    • Back to School92%
    • Beauty (3+ times)91%
    • Affordable / Affordability90%
    • Roundel86%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Agentic24h
      ▼ 18¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. PetaJane / Peta Jane24h
      ▼ 15¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Inflation24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    4. Tariff24h
      8¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Inflation24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Tariff$285 vol · 8¢ apart94%▼ 2kalshi87¢88¢ after fees
    Back to School$125 vol92%▼ 1kalshi93¢94¢ after fees
    Beauty (3+ times)$217 vol91%—kalshi92¢93¢ after fees
    Affordable / Affordability$50 vol90%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US91¢91¢ after fees
    Roundel$141 vol86%▼ 2kalshi88¢89¢ after fees
    Fun 101$260 vol86%▲ 2kalshi87¢88¢ after fees
    Target Plus$93 vol84%▼ 4kalshi85¢86¢ after fees
    Circle 360$18 vol78%—kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Revenue$109 vol78%—kalshi78¢80¢ after fees
    Remodel (3+ times)$213 vol74%▼ 1kalshi74¢76¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Tariff is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Target currently scheduled to take place on November 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_pr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Target currently scheduled to take place on November 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, November 18, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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