What will Mamdani say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Afford / Affordable / Affordability leads by 11 pts · 19 outcomes at 5%+

Afford / Affordable / Affordability#185%▼ 1Yes86¢87¢ after fees
Safe / Safer / Safety#274%▲ 2Yes75¢77¢ after fees
Home / Housing#372%▼ 1Yes73¢75¢ after fees

#4 Trump / President71%

#5 Childcare / Child Care63%+14 more

Resolves: Nov 18, 2026
Volume: $28.1K
24h: $3.7K
Outcomes: 19

1 venue · 19 markets

Who’s winning

Top 5, each at its busiest venue

Afford / Affordable / Affordability85%
Safe / Safer / Safety74%
Home / Housing72%
Trump / President71%
Childcare / Child Care63%

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Signals

3 signals

Socialist / Socialism24h
▲ 10¢ in 24h
Grocery24h
▲ 8¢ in 24h
Childcare / Child Care24h
▲ 5¢ in 24h

Every outcome, every venue

1 venue

Chance

Best

Afford / Affordable / Affordability$1.1K vol85%▼ 186¢

86¢87¢ after fees

Safe / Safer / Safety$843 vol74%▲ 275¢

75¢77¢ after fees

Home / Housing$1.3K vol72%▼ 173¢

73¢75¢ after fees

Trump / President$2.3K vol71%▲ 173¢

73¢75¢ after fees

Childcare / Child Care$3.7K vol63%▲ 564¢

64¢66¢ after fees

Midterm / Election$1.7K vol59%▼ 460¢

60¢62¢ after fees

Tax$2.8K vol58%▼ 160¢

60¢62¢ after fees

Budget / Deficit$1.4K vol55%▲ 559¢

59¢61¢ after fees

Socialist / Socialism$1.1K vol50%▲ 1052¢

52¢54¢ after fees

Grocery$703 vol43%▲ 847¢

47¢49¢ after fees

Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

Smart money

Biggest trades

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In the news

About this market

Category: Culture
Resolves: Wed, November 18, 2026

Compared across 1 venue

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