TRADING OPEN
8sWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Resolves Oct 28, 2026
Total Volume
$16.5K
+$794 (24h)
Active Markets
47
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
90¢
Good Day
Biggest Mover 24h
-13¢
Unchanged
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 90¢ | 90¢ | $2.6K | -1¢ | — | |
| 2 | 89¢ | 89¢ | $4.5K | +5¢ | — | |
| 3 | 88¢ | 88¢ | $311 | -3¢ | — | |
| 4 | 87¢ | 87¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 5 | 87¢ | 87¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 6 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 7 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $118 | -3¢ | — | |
| 8 | 74¢ | 74¢ | $3.6K | -4¢ | — | |
| 9 | 70¢ | 70¢ | $0 | -5¢ | — | |
| 10 | 68¢ | 68¢ | $300+$150 24h | -4¢ | — | |
| 11 | 67¢ | 67¢ | $745+$150 24h | -4¢ | — | |
| 12 | 60¢ | 60¢ | $434+$150 24h | -4¢ | — | |
| 13 | 59¢ | 59¢ | $300 | +3¢ | — | |
| 14 | 57¢ | 57¢ | $94 | -2¢ | — | |
| 15 | 57¢ | 57¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 16 | 44¢ | 44¢ | $313 | -5¢ | — | |
| 17 | 40¢ | 40¢ | $76 | -4¢ | — | |
| 18 | 39¢ | 39¢ | $1.1K+$344 24h | -5¢ | — | |
| 19 | 36¢ | 36¢ | $173 | -4¢ | — | |
| 20 | 27¢ | 27¢ | $510 | -13¢ | — | |
| 21 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $149 | -7¢ | — | |
| 22 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $0 | -5¢ | — | |
| 23 | 18¢ | 18¢ | $152 | -3¢ | — | |
| 24 | 16¢ | 16¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 25 | 11¢ | 11¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 26 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $150 | -4¢ | — | |
| 27 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $3 | -5¢ | — | |
| 28 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $68 | -4¢ | — | |
| 29 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $9 | -6¢ | — | |
| 30 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $15 | -4¢ | — | |
| 31 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 32 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $7 | -4¢ | — | |
| 33 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $9 | -7¢ | — | |
| 34 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $79 | -4¢ | — | |
| 35 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0 | -3¢ | — | |
| 36 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 37 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0 | -4¢ | — | |
| 38 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $20 | -3¢ | — | |
| 39 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $21 | -3¢ | — | |
| 40 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $0 | -3¢ | — | |
| 41 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $9 | -4¢ | — | |
| 42 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $0 | -2¢ | — | |
| 43 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $208 | -2¢ | — | |
| 44 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $395 | -5¢ | — | |
| 45 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $9 | -5¢ | — | |
| 46 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $102 | -4¢ | — | |
| 47 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $12 | -4¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platforms1Good Day
90%
90¢-1¢
2Central Bank
89%
89¢+5¢
3AI / Artificial Intelligence
88%
88¢-3¢
4Productivity
87%
87¢-4¢
5Shock
87%
87¢-4¢
6Uncertainty
84%
84¢-4¢
7Restrictive
84%
84¢-3¢
8Credit
74%
74¢-4¢
9Independent / Independence
70%
70¢-5¢
10Inflation Expectation
68%
68¢-4¢
11Anchor / Anchored
67%
67¢-4¢
12Geopolitical
60%
60¢-4¢
13Balance Sheet
59%
59¢+3¢
14Oil
57%
57¢-2¢
15President
57%
57¢-4¢
16Commodity
44%
44¢-5¢
17Family Fight / Family Feud
40%
40¢-4¢
18Projection
39%
39¢-5¢
19Dollar
36%
36¢-4¢
20Unchanged
27%
27¢-13¢
21Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
25%
25¢-7¢
22Pandemic
25%
25¢-5¢
23Risk Management
18%
18¢-3¢
24Iran
16%
16¢-4¢
25Volatility
11¢-4¢
26Dissent
10¢-4¢
27Softening
8¢-5¢
28Diesel
8¢-4¢
29QT / Quantitative Tightening
8¢-6¢
30Recession
8¢-4¢
31Probability
8¢-4¢
32Shutdown / Shut Down
7¢-4¢
33QE / Quantitative Easing
7¢-7¢
34Tax
7¢-4¢
35Event does not qualify
6¢-3¢
36Egg
6¢-4¢
37Japan / Japanese / Yen
6¢-4¢
38Good Afternoon
5¢-3¢
39Consumer Confidence
5¢-3¢
40Stagflation
5¢-3¢
41Renovation
5¢-4¢
42ADP
5¢-2¢
43National Debt
5¢-2¢
44Trump
5¢-5¢
45Crypto / Cryptocurrency
4¢-5¢
46Bitcoin
4¢-4¢
47Gold
3¢-4¢
Event Info
Resolution Date
~Oct 28, 2026
~36 days remaining Category
Culture
Markets
47
Platforms
1
Total Volume
$16.5K
Whale Activity
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