TRADING OPEN
    8s

    What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

    Resolves Oct 28, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.5K

    +$794 (24h)

    Active Markets

    47

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    90¢

    Good Day

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -13¢

    Unchanged

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    47 markets · Showing 47
    #
    190¢90¢
    $2.6K
    -1¢
    289¢89¢
    $4.5K
    +5¢
    388¢88¢
    $311
    -3¢
    487¢87¢
    $0
    -4¢
    587¢87¢
    $0
    -4¢
    684¢84¢
    $0
    -4¢
    784¢84¢
    $118
    -3¢
    874¢74¢
    $3.6K
    -4¢
    970¢70¢
    $0
    -5¢
    1068¢68¢
    $300+$150 24h
    -4¢
    1167¢67¢
    $745+$150 24h
    -4¢
    1260¢60¢
    $434+$150 24h
    -4¢
    1359¢59¢
    $300
    +3¢
    1457¢57¢
    $94
    -2¢
    1557¢57¢
    $0
    -4¢
    1644¢44¢
    $313
    -5¢
    1740¢40¢
    $76
    -4¢
    1839¢39¢
    $1.1K+$344 24h
    -5¢
    1936¢36¢
    $173
    -4¢
    2027¢27¢
    $510
    -13¢
    2125¢25¢
    $149
    -7¢
    2225¢25¢
    $0
    -5¢
    2318¢18¢
    $152
    -3¢
    2416¢16¢
    $0
    -4¢
    2511¢11¢
    $0
    -4¢
    2610¢10¢
    $150
    -4¢
    27
    $3
    -5¢
    28
    $68
    -4¢
    29
    $9
    -6¢
    30
    $15
    -4¢
    31
    $0
    -4¢
    32
    $7
    -4¢
    33
    $9
    -7¢
    34
    $79
    -4¢
    35
    $0
    -3¢
    36
    $0
    -4¢
    37
    $0
    -4¢
    38
    $20
    -3¢
    39
    $21
    -3¢
    40
    $0
    -3¢
    41
    $9
    -4¢
    42
    $0
    -2¢
    43
    $208
    -2¢
    44
    $395
    -5¢
    45
    $9
    -5¢
    46
    $102
    -4¢
    47
    $12
    -4¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Good Day
    90%
    90¢-1¢
    2Central Bank
    89%
    89¢+5¢
    3AI / Artificial Intelligence
    88%
    88¢-3¢
    4Productivity
    87%
    87¢-4¢
    5Shock
    87%
    87¢-4¢
    6Uncertainty
    84%
    84¢-4¢
    7Restrictive
    84%
    84¢-3¢
    8Credit
    74%
    74¢-4¢
    9Independent / Independence
    70%
    70¢-5¢
    10Inflation Expectation
    68%
    68¢-4¢
    11Anchor / Anchored
    67%
    67¢-4¢
    12Geopolitical
    60%
    60¢-4¢
    13Balance Sheet
    59%
    59¢+3¢
    14Oil
    57%
    57¢-2¢
    15President
    57%
    57¢-4¢
    16Commodity
    44%
    44¢-5¢
    17Family Fight / Family Feud
    40%
    40¢-4¢
    18Projection
    39%
    39¢-5¢
    19Dollar
    36%
    36¢-4¢
    20Unchanged
    27%
    27¢-13¢
    21Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
    25%
    25¢-7¢
    22Pandemic
    25%
    25¢-5¢
    23Risk Management
    18%
    18¢-3¢
    24Iran
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    25Volatility
    11¢-4¢
    26Dissent
    10¢-4¢
    27Softening
    -5¢
    28Diesel
    -4¢
    29QT / Quantitative Tightening
    -6¢
    30Recession
    -4¢
    31Probability
    -4¢
    32Shutdown / Shut Down
    -4¢
    33QE / Quantitative Easing
    -7¢
    34Tax
    -4¢
    35Event does not qualify
    -3¢
    36Egg
    -4¢
    37Japan / Japanese / Yen
    -4¢
    38Good Afternoon
    -3¢
    39Consumer Confidence
    -3¢
    40Stagflation
    -3¢
    41Renovation
    -4¢
    42ADP
    -2¢
    43National Debt
    -2¢
    44Trump
    -5¢
    45Crypto / Cryptocurrency
    -5¢
    46Bitcoin
    -4¢
    47Gold
    -4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Oct 28, 2026

    ~36 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    47
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.5K

    Whale Activity

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