TRADING OPEN

    What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

    The Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.5K

    +$2 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    58¢

    Winchester Model 1873

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30)

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets
    #
    158¢57¢58¢
    $9.5K
    -2¢—
    219¢20¢19¢
    $8.0K
    -1¢—
    310¢11¢10¢
    $2.6K
    -1¢—
    47¢7¢7¢
    $1.7K
    -8¢—
    56¢5¢8¢
    $801
    -3¢—
    65¢1¢5¢
    $846+$2 24h
    -4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Winchester Model 1873
    58%
    58¢-2¢
    21873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)
    19%
    19¢-1¢
    3Colt M1911
    10¢-1¢
    4Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30)
    7¢-8¢
    5M1 Garand rifle (.30-06)
    6¢-3¢
    6Remington Model 700
    5¢-4¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $23.5K

    Whale Activity

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