Mentions

    What will Elon Musk say during NYT DealBook Summit?

    Tesla leads by 3 pts · 18 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Tesla#169%
    2. AI / Artificial Intelligence#266%
    3. Optimus#359%
    #4 Trump53%#5 China / Chinese51%+13 more
    Resolves
    Nov 18, 2026
    Volume
    $17.5K
    24h
    $1.3K
    Outcomes
    18
    kalshi1 venue · 18 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Tesla69%
    • AI / Artificial Intelligence66%
    • Optimus59%
    • Trump53%
    • China / Chinese51%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Starship24h
      ▼ 22¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Satellite24h
      ▼ 21¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Meridian24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Tesla$3.9K vol69%▼ 2kalshi73¢75¢ after fees
    AI / Artificial Intelligence$5.1K vol66%▼ 5kalshi71¢73¢ after fees
    Optimus$418 vol59%▼ 4kalshi61¢63¢ after fees
    Trump$3.1K vol53%▼ 4kalshi58¢60¢ after fees
    China / Chinese$406 vol51%▼ 9kalshi56¢58¢ after fees
    Starlink$2.5K vol50%▼ 4kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    Nvidia$152 vol46%▲ 1kalshi51¢53¢ after fees
    Robotaxi / Cybercab$259 vol44%▼ 6kalshi49¢51¢ after fees
    Grok$39 vol43%▼ 5kalshi48¢50¢ after fees
    Starship$185 vol42%▼ 22kalshi46¢48¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Wed, November 18, 2026
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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