Movies

    What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (November 17)

    Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas leads by 50 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas#167%
    2. Reminders of Him#217%
    3. Heartland#316%
    #4 Misty Green3%#5 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword2%+11 more
    Resolves
    Dec 1, 2026
    Volume
    $6.7K
    24h
    $6.7K
    Liquidity
    $13.9K
    Outcomes
    16
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas67%
    • Reminders of Him17%
    • Heartland16%
    • Misty Green3%
    • King Arthur: Legend of the Sword2%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Reminders of Him24h
      5¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Heartland24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas$230 vol · 4¢ apart67%—kalshi70¢72¢ after fees
    Reminders of Him$32 vol · 5¢ apart17%—Polymarket US14¢fee unknown
    Heartland$33 vol · 4¢ apart16%—Polymarket US13¢fee unknown
    Misty Green$0 vol3%—Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    King Arthur: Legend of the Sword$173 vol2%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    The Day After Tomorrow$1.7K vol2%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    A Dog's Perfect Christmas$2.8K vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story$70 vol2%—kalshi2¢3¢ after fees
    Collision Course$195 vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees
    The Croods$251 vol1%—kalshi1¢2¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Reminders of Him5¢buy Polymarket US
    • Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas4¢buy kalshi
    • Heartland4¢buy Polymarket US
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Tyler Perry's The Gospel of Christmas is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Nov 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is bas…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Top US Netflix Movie This Week?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Tue, December 1, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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